Tag Archives: ukraine

Putin’s Milosevic moment

Posted on August 21, 2014 by

As the world is gearing up for the upcoming talks between Vladimir Putin, Petro Poroshenko and Western officials in Minsk next week, all sides seem to pretend that time works for them and stakes are higher on the other side. … Continue reading →

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Why sanctions may as well work

Posted on July 25, 2014 by

Two days ago, Clifford Gaddy and Barry Ickes, two renowned experts on Russia’s economy published a short analysis on the possible effect of European and American sanctions on Russia. The outlook was grim, they concluded: not only were sanctions unlikely … Continue reading →

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Not a golden opportunity

Posted on July 19, 2014 by

One of the conclusions many have drawn from the tragedy of flight MH17 was that Vladimir Putin now had the golden opportunity to withdraw from Ukraine – a war he had wanted to end anyway – and blame it all … Continue reading →

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A tragedy with consequences

Posted on July 17, 2014 by

This is the end of the conflict in Ukraine as we know it. 

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Go back to Start, do not collect $200bn

Posted on May 18, 2014 by

Sometimes words can hurt more than actions. Last week, the president of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi said that capital flight from Russia might be four times as high as reported by Russia’s government. So far, the finance ministry … Continue reading →

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On the brink

Posted on April 16, 2014 by

As I am writing this blog entry, something that worryingly resembles the beginning of a civil war is underway in Eastern Ukraine. The triple strategy of the Ukrainian government – send in the military but restrain its activity, ask for … Continue reading →

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Russia’s greatest challenges for the next decade

Posted on April 12, 2014 by

I recently authored a report for Wikistrat, based on a collaborative brainstorming exercise of more than forty global experts, on Russia’s greatest challenges for the next decade. The crowdsourced analysis took place in February, before the formal annexation of Crimea, … Continue reading →

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